Petraeus
and Crocker go to Washington
This
past week Gen. David Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan
Crocker paid homage with their biennial hearing before Congress on the progress
of the Bush Administration’s war in Iraq.
If
you recall, back in January 2007 President Bush announced that he was sending
an additional 20,000 troops to Iraq, which turned into more than 30,000 troops,
in what Bush called a surge.
Bush
said the surge was intended to quell the violence to allow the Iraqi government
“breathing room” to govern and enact legislation that Bush outlined as
benchmarks.
Bush
set 18 benchmarks for the surge. At last September’s hearings only three of the
18 benchmarks had been reached.
In
March 2007, Petraeus said that at the end of July of
that year there would be a 45 day period to re-evaluate where things stand,
which would be followed up by a September 2007 congressional hearing featuring
testimony by Petraeus and Crocker.
Fast forward to April 2008. Petraeus
and Crocker again go before Congress with updates on how things are going in
Iraq.
An
excerpt from Petraeus’s testimony last week: “Since
Ambassador Crocker and I appeared before you seven months ago, there has been
significant but uneven security progress in Iraq.
“Since
September, levels of violence and civilian deaths have been reduced
substantially, al-Qaida-Iraq and a number of other extremist elements have been
dealt serious blows, the capabilities of Iraqi Security Force elements have
grown, and there has been noteworthy involvement of local Iraqis in local
security.
“Nonetheless,
the situation in certain areas is still unsatisfactory and innumerable
challenges remain. Moreover, as events in the past two weeks have reminded us
and as I have repeatedly cautioned, the progress made since last spring is
fragile and reversible.
“Still,
security in Iraq is better than it was when Ambassador Crocker and I reported
to you last September, and it is significantly better than it was 15 months ago
when Iraq was on the brink of civil war and the decision was made to deploy
additional US forces to Iraq.”
When
Petraeus was questioned about when we might actually
be able to withdraw troops beyond the 20,000 troops that Bush just announced,
he said “that at the end of July of 2008, this year, there would have [to be] a
45 day waiting period to re-evaluate where we stand.”
I
have a strong sense of Déjà vu.
A
couple of things that were notably missing from these hearings: there was no
longer any talk of benchmarks, and when Petraeus was
questioned about eventually leaving Iraq, we learned that he doesn’t even have
a plan to start the plan that would be used for a withdrawal at anytime in the
future.
After
the hearings, Bush made a speech and announced that troop deployments would
change from fifteen-month deployments to twelve-month deployments starting
August 1, 2008. Those that are there now or who will be deployed up to that
date will have fifteen-month deployments.
Bush also announced that on the advice of Petraeus, no more troops will leave Iraq after July of this
year, which will leave at least 140,000 troops in Iraq when the next President
takes office in 276 days.